Greenhouse Theory and ‘Climate Change’
Climate Change, the 21st century bogeyman. Scare the children and raise the taxes, what a wonderful phenomenon for politicians to use as justification for their interference in our lives.
Allegedly, sophisticated ‘computer models’ are used to provide projections as to how anthropogenic greenhouse gasses (CO2 in particular) contribute to Global Warming , sorry, Climate Change by their part, the so called positive forcing, in a positive feedback loop which will reach a ‘tipping point’ whereafter we will see a runaway greenhouse effect.
One slight fly in the ointment is that the observed data does not support the projected figures, particularly in respect of upper tropospheric temperatures which according to greenhouse theory should amplify the surface temperature increases, but actually insignificantly fell in the data published by NASA and others for some parts of the atmosphere.
http://www.amap.no/?main=http%3A//www.amap.no/mapsgraphics/go/graphic/lower-tropospheric-temperatures-since-1979-from-satellite-monitoring-high-variability-is-characterishttp://www.remss.com/msu/msu_data_description.html#msu_decadal_trends
A graphic displaying cooling on the lower stratosphere
“How could this be?” cry the worshippers at the altar of Man Made Global Warming (MMGW). How could our sacred Greenhouse Theory not be correct? Typically they blamed the data rather than the theory. Well, step forward Míklos Zágoni and Ferenc Miskolczi, Hungarian atmospheric physicists and environmental researchers. Miskolczi is the man who noted the missing factor in the 85 year old theory. This made the calculations assuming an infinitely thick atmosphere (false). When he modified the equation to include the effects of the boundary conditions the predicted numbers fitted the observed data.
The bad news for MMGW disciples such as the IPCC and western governments is that this introduces us to the negative feedback control which balances the positive forcing of greenhouse gasses. So we now have an equation which works in terms of energy balance unlike the traditional workings.
Unfortunately the runaway, uncontrollable global temperature increase predictions which allow the saviour of modern society, Al Gore, to flog us all carbon offsetting don’t appear if we use the new, improved (ie accurate) models. So what is the answer to our little conundrum?
Simple, Big Al has a word with his pals at NASA and they refuse to publish. Seriously.
If you want publishing, don’t be daft enough to write a paper contradicting the MMGW deity, not when there’s $5Bn research cash at stake! Fortunately Miskolczi managed to get his work published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal in Hungary
http://met.hu/omsz.php?almenu_id=omsz&pid=references&mpx=0&kps=1&pri=2
The modified theory also works for observed climate data for the Martian atmosphere.
Miskolczi has subsequently resigned from his collaborations with NASA citing their refusal to publish his work.
Steven Schwartz has published research which supports Miskolczi’s conclusions and explains why current climate model predictions always overestimate temperature increases.
http://www.ecd.bnl.gov/steve/pubs/HeatCapacity.pdf
DJ